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We use Moneyball tactics to discover undervalued, mispriced, and hidden gems in Fractional Investing.
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2021 performance for Game Trading Cards
After a rocky spring and summer, game trading cards are on the rebound led by blue chips like Charizard. Can the trend hold?
Last week’s performance
Fractional secondary markets
Results were all of the place last week with a 22% loss from Venusaur on Otis to a 14.3% gain for Mewtwo (you’d expect them to be highly correlated). In all, the category was flat.
Only one IPO this week, but it’s a strong one. Otis is dropping a 1st Edition Charizard Shadowless Holo — the bluest of blue chips.
- Market Cap: $236,800
- Inferred Value: $299,000
- Channel: Otis
- Date: 10/26/2021
- Recommendation: [Insiders Only]
There’s a complete set of Pokemon 1st edition trading on Rally with a market cap of $600k (too high) as well as a garbage pail kid if that’s your thing. Market cap for Nasty Nick is $12k, but we think it’s probably overvalued. Worth noting there aren’t any decent comps lately, though, so it’s unclear where the market has gone the last couple of months.
There’s a Pokemon First Edition Base Set Sealed Booster Box with Heritage right now, and it’s up to $180k with 11 days left. If this gets to $400k+, it’ll be a strong sign of support for the poke-rebound. Anything over $500k puts us back into bull market.
There’s also a PSA 9 version of the Pokemon Charizard First Edition Holo ending in 11 days. If that punches through $32k, that’s an indication the trend is moving back up as well. It’s at $21k now. There’s an identical card at PWCC with two days left. It’s at $19k now.